Minority President

Lilly Goren, contributing to the under-appreciated, but ever-interesting Britannica Blog, helps us figure out whether America is more likely to elect a woman or a black man as president.

How does she do it? She collects and assesses historical data from the only really important sources that ever existed: Movies and Television Series.

Her findings tell us that Obama has a better chance than Hillary. (Link)

[Incidentally, I’m against the word “series” because it’s awkard to pluralize.]

4 Responses to Minority President

  1. Kevin January 10, 2008 at 3:14 pm #

    Well, since the 15th amendment came before the 19th amendment, she’s probably right.

  2. weeklyrob January 10, 2008 at 4:59 pm #

    So, you believe that when they got the vote correlates to when they become truly electable.

    That’s another bit of data to look at, but I don’t think it’s nearly as awesome as the TV-Hollywood thing.

  3. BruceS January 11, 2008 at 4:23 pm #

    Does the President even need to be eligible for the vote? ISTR Lyndon B. LaRouche running from inside a prison cell.
    AIUI, the President of Ireland can’t vote there. I can’t seem to find confirmation of this online, and have to trust my memory from a visit to her house. Of course their laws don’t affect us, but it’s interesting none the less.

  4. Kevin January 14, 2008 at 11:19 am #

    Well, they correlate, but it’s not causal. I believe we gave the right to vote in the order in which we quit infantalizing them. Ask an old, male redneck from my grandparents generation if he’d rather work for a black man or a white woman and I think I know the answer he’d give.

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